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The Colors of Autumn 20160915
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NJ fall foliage forecast: Unspectacular, due to drought

Year-to-date rainfall is running about 9 inches below normal for part of the Garden State, causing trees, leaves, and autumn enthusiasts to suffer.

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Category: New Jersey News, Weather Tags:
Heat wave at the beach
(Liz Jeressi. Townsquare Media NJ)
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Near 90 in mid-September? Near-record temps Wednesday for NJ

Our warming trend will peak Wednesday, with near-record temperatures, before a cold front brings a cooldown and a slight chance for rain Wednesday evening.

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Category: New Jersey News, News, Weather Tags:
GFS model forecast high temperatures for Tuesday, showing lower 80s across New Jersey.  (College of DuPage Meteorology)
GFS model forecast high temperatures for Tuesday, showing lower 80s across New Jersey. (College of DuPage Meteorology)
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More sunshine and warming temps across New Jersey Tuesday

We're on the upside of a temperature roller coaster that will peak with heat, humidity, and possibly a few raindrops on Wednesday.

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Category: New Jersey News, Weather Tags:
birds-and-blue-sky-1395001717vGV
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High pressure to keep NJ weather dry, sunny, and pleasant

Cool mornings and warm, sunny afternoons are in the forecast for most of the week, as a lack of significant rainfall continues to raise drought concerns.

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Category: New Jersey News, Weather Tags:
Despite blue skies and pleasant weather on Sunday, the Atlantic Ocean was ferocious in Bradley Beach, N.J.  (Photo: Bud McCormick)
Despite blue skies and pleasant weather on Sunday, the Atlantic Ocean was ferocious in Bradley Beach, N.J. (Photo: Bud McCormick)
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Happy Labor Day, Hermine: Coastal flooding and wind still possible for NJ

Expect minor to moderate coastal flooding, gusty winds, and possibly a few raindrops as Hermine makes its closest pass to the Garden State.

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Hermine Moderate Flooding 20160904
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Hermine, the headache machine: Yes, flooding still a threat for the Jersey Shore

Hermine's off-shore track means NJ will probably avoid 'record' or 'historic' flooding, but water levels at or above 'moderate' flood stage would still be bad.

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Hermine Surge Surf WInd Rain 20160904
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Hermine jogs east slightly: ‘major’ flooding still likely for NJ

There are improvements to the Hermine forecast. But with a hurricane strength storm just 200 miles off the Jersey Shore, near-record coastal flooding remains probable.

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Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday.  (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday. (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
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Hermine headlines for NJ: Bad coastal flooding, possible power outages

As New Jersey approaches primetime for the impacts of Hermine, the latest forecast looks especially dire for the Jersey Shore.

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The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore.  (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore. (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
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Record surge and flooding expected at the Jersey Shore

As Hermine meanders past the New Jersey coast over the next several days, powerful easterly winds will push a huge amount of water toward the shore.

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Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain.  (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain. (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
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9 things to know as Hermine takes aim at NJ this weekend

At best, Labor Day Weekend weather will be a bust for most of New Jersey. At worst, storm surge will lead to significant flooding along the Jersey Shore.

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Hermine Storm Surge 20160902
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How bad will Hermine’s storm surge be in your neighborhood?

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Jersey Shore, from Sandy Hook to the Delaware Bay, as NJ prepares to feel Hermine's impacts starting Saturday.

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Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast.  (NOAA / NHC)
Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast. (NOAA / NHC)
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Hermine may push up to 5 feet of surge toward the Jersey Shore

While Hermine's expected track didn't change much this morning, the forecast along the Jersey Shore just keeps getting worse.

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